Subnational Population Projections
An indication of future trends
The 2006 based long-term subnational population projections were published on 12 June 2008. They project forward mid-2006 population estimates to give an indication of future trends in population by age and sex down to local authority level for the next 25 years from 2006 to 2031.
Being trend based projections, assumptions for future levels of births, deaths and migration are based on observed levels; mainly over the previous five years (2002 to 2006). They show what the population will be if recent trends continue.
The projections are produced on a consistent basis across all local authorities in England. They do not take into account any future policy changes or local development policies that have not yet occurred.
They are fully consistent with the 2006 mid-year population estimates published on 22 August 2007. They are constrained at a national level to the 2006-based National Population Projections published by the Office for National Statistics on 23 October 2007.
The data can be accessed via 'Subnational Population Projections' under 'Related Links' at the top right of this page.
Responsibility for producing National Population Projections transferred from the Government Actuary's Department (GAD) to the ONS in January 2006; full details on the 2006-based National Population Projections are available via the GAD website.
Subnational population projections for Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland are available from the relevant devolved administration. National Population Projections are also published by ONS. See external links on the right.
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Subnational Population Projections